Monday, 11 July 2016

To Brexit or not to Brexit - that is the question


Last Friday I was wondering who would be the next politician to quit.
I didn't have to wait long to find out. As I turned on the BBC World Service at lunch time today, I was greeted with the breaking news that Andrea Leadsom was pulling out of the Tory leadership race.
Officially this is in the interest of the country: to speed up the process and in view of Theresa May's greater support amongst the parliamentary party. However, there are suggestions that the media coverage of the weekend may have been too much to handle. In case you missed it, in an interview to The Times, Mrs Leadsom basically said that being a mum gave her an advantage over Theresa May, who doesn't have children. Needless to say the statement did not go down well.
Or perhaps she was put off by yesterday's booing during Andy Murray's victory speech. When Andy highlighted David Cameron's presence on Centre Court and commented on the difficulties of being a PM, the Wimbledon crowd booed.
So now everything is in place for Theresa May to become the next Prime Minister. Bearing in mind what has happened so far, anything could happen between now and Wednesday, when David Cameron is set to step down.
Of course, the main question remains: to Brexit or not to Brexit?
In the words of Theresa May this morning: "Brexit means Brexit and we're going to make a success of it."
However, many in the UK and in the EU are praying and hoping that Brexit can still be avoided.
At the weekend the UK government turned down a petition signed by 4 million people for a second referendum.
The latest initiative is a letter signed by over 1,000 British barristers urging the prime minister to allow parliament to decide whether the UK should leave the EU. They argue that the referendum result is advisory, as it did not set a threshold necessary to leave the EU. The barristers propose that "the government establishes a royal commission or an equivalent independent body to receive evidence and report on the benefits, costs and risks of triggering article 50 to the UK as a whole, and to all of its constituent populations. The parliamentary vote should not take place until the commission has reported.”
Given that this latest recommendation is extremely reasonable and responsible, we can conclude that the politicians in Westminster will almost certainly ignore it.

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